My opponent has 831 games in ChessBase's 2026 Mega database, of which 407 have him with the black pieces.
I fairly quickly decided I wanted to play 1.e4, which reduced the field to a still-healthy 156 games, of which 96 saw him continue 1...e5.
A Spanish would suit me, I felt, and it seemed he had 'only' two replies 3...a6 and 3...f5.
Against the former I would be happy with my normal Exchange Variation, but I had to do some work before deciding how I would meet the latter.
But my preparation could not end there, as in Mega26 he also has 21 games with 1...e6, 20 games with 1...d5, 10 games with 1...c5, and also games with 1...Nf6, 1...c6 and 1...Nc6.
I was not overly inclined to look at everything, especially as with some of those moves there was very little to go on, but on examining a list of my opponent's games by date, I noticed the French was very much his modern fancy, and I even found a game where he answered 1.d4 with 1...e6.
I have played many games with the Exchange Variation of the French, trying to emulate Morphy, but I decided this would be a too-insipid choice against an IM, and I ruled out the King's Indian Attack, a favourite of mine some years ago, on the ground of rustiness.
That left 2.d4 d5 3.Nc3, of which there were six games of DP's in Mega26 - four continued 3...Bb4, and two saw 3...Nf6.
I fairly quickly decided what I would play against the Winawer, and then looked at the two games with 3...Nf6.
I used to continue exclusively with 4.e5, but more recently I have mixed in 4.Bg5, and with this latter continuation the one game in Mega26 showed DP replying with the fashionable 4...dxe4 5.Nxe4 Be7.
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That game continued 6.Bd3?! Nxe4 7.Bxe7 Nxf2!? 8.Bxd8 Nxd1 9.Bxc7 Nxb2, which the engines reckon is level, although DP went on to win.
I knew the main move is 6.Bxf6, when 6...gxf6!? gives Black the sort of imbalanced game - pawn-structure v bishop-pair - that the superior player should be happy to get.
Accordingly I settled on 6.Nxf6+ Bxf6 7.Bxf6 Qxf6 8.Nf3, when I noticed the engines suggested meeting the main move, 8...0-0, with the little-played 9.Qd3, the idea being to follow up with queenside castling, the quicker the better.
And that was the extent of my preparation - it never occurred to me to look a few moves further ahead, to see how Black might react to White's queen move.
Over the board there came 9...c5 10.0-0-0 Rd8, and suddenly I realised White has difficulties.
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Black has three men attacking d4, and is about to bring in a fourth attacker with ...Nc6.
White has three defenders, but adding a fourth defender with 11.c3? sees White's king exposed after 11...cxd4 12.cxd4, when the simple 12...Bd7, with ...Nc6 and Rac8 to come, gives Black a winning attack, according to Stockfish18 and Dragon1.
White therefore has to move the queen to unpin the d pawn, but my 11.Qe3?! showed my inexperience with the position (Qe4 is probably best, as I detail in my notes to the game).
After my move, Black played 11...Nc6, when 12.dxc5? Rxd1+ 13.Kxd1 Qxb2 is terrible.
Instead I played 12.d5!? (I had planned this when playing Qe3), but I was on the back-foot for almost the whole of the rest of the game - it felt as if I was playing with the black pieces, and my opponent with the white ones.
LESSON: half-baked preparation can be more dangerous than no preparation.
